Tairngreachtaí Suntasacha!

Noteworthy Predictions

If you think Artificial Intelligence (AI) is new, the opposite is the case. Ray Kurzweil has been working in the field for 61 years - longer than anyone else alive. Most of us were unaware of AI until ChatGPT came into existence recently. But now AI is at the center of the global conversation, something Ray is very happy about.

Back in 1999, when Ray predicted that we would have Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) by 2029, most experts thought he was writing fiction. But his estimate was not far off, and now many experts are of the opinion that we will have AGI even sooner. AGI is a type of AI that can solve all kinds of problems as well or (usually) better than humans. Ray now has new prophecies about what AGI will mean for us in the near term in three important areas.

Energy

Today's technology relies heavily on energy sources. For the last two hundred years fossil fuels have been used as the main sources. Unfortunately, they pollute the environment and are not renewable so we need to stop using them due to the toxic output they emit. Therefore, it is necessary to use different sources without delay, which do not involve such pollution. Fortunately, we have no shortage of options, but unfortunately, they all come with different problems. Take solar power, for example. If only 0.01% of the sunlight received by the earth was harvested, the energy needs of the human race would be completely supplied. But solar power is still not cost-effective compared to fossil fuels, although things are moving in the right direction. In particular, the costs of the chemicals associated with the technology are too high. And that is where AGI will be able to help us a lot. AGI will be able to simulate millions of materials, and find the most efficient ones for us, so that we have almost free energy at our disposal. It will be a fundamental change, without a doubt.

Manufacturing

Prices for industrial products come from three main sources: energy, labor and materials. AGI will be able to provide energy that uses low cost materials. But what about the labor cost? Significant progress has already been made in the field of robotics in automating physical work. Undoubtedly, there will be more significant improvements in this area over time. This means that most items will become incredibly cheap and plentiful.

Medicine

Price performance will continue to drop in the computing space as well. In addition, there are innovations currently underway such as quantum computing that could fuel exponential growth in the AGI field. A new term is already being used for that alone – Quantum Intelligence – but that's a topic for another day. In any case, before long AGI will be able to develop new drugs to cure all kinds of diseases. And AGI will be able to adapt drugs to the needs of one person, because each of us has a unique biochemistry. The need for clinical trials will not be the same either, as AGI will be able to simulate trials. Digital trials will allow us to tailor medicines to each patient on an individual basis. It will enable us not only to cure diseases such as cancer and Alzheimer's, but also to greatly reduce the harmful effects of ageing. This is the most significant promise of ISG: much longer and healthier lives for us.

Conclusion

I was stunned when I read the predictions mentioned above. Isn't Ray dreaming? Well, maybe he is, but Ray needs to be listened to for many reasons. First of all, his prophecies (in the nineties) came true, regarding the World Wide Web, smart phones and digital media. Second, Ray is an innovator who has had great success using AI to create new products. For example, he designed and developed an optical character recognition system back in the seventies; a music synthesizer in the eighties; 'text to language' products in the nineties, and financial technology (fintech) software at the beginning of this century.

Thirdly, Ray published one of his most provocative books to date, in 2005: 'The Singularity Is Near'. In this book, he gives us more details about the 'Singularity' - that is when ISG will be available for the first time and computers will become smarter than humans. After reading that book, it was clear to me that Ray is a world-class expert in the field of IS and ISG, and that we need to pay due attention to what he has to say.

Finally, price performance will continue to decrease in the computing field over time. There is also innovation currently underway such as quantum computing that could fuel exponential growth in the ISG field. A new term is already being used for just that – Quantum Intelligence – but that's a topic for another day.

It is clear, therefore, that there is serious thought behind his predictions, and Ray himself has special wisdom. In my opinion, we have no choice but to believe most of his predictions, even though they make us wary. But, as the old saying goes: forewarned is forearmed!

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Bainis!

Wedding!

We landed in Ireland a few weeks ago to attend our nephew's wedding in Kenmare in County Kerry. My wife and I usually return home from America every year in July and spend at least a few months in Ireland. It's very interesting to be here a little earlier this year. Summer is not in full swing yet, because spring has overstayed its welcome. The streets of Kilkenny are not thick with tourists yet, apart from a few early birds, but they will be arriving in droves before long. But the crowds of foreigners are already swelling in County Kerry, and the Ring of Kerry is overflowing with large tourist buses day and night. We spent three days in Kenmare, because nowadays, that's the amount of time it takes to celebrate a wedding and the events associated with it.

The Day Before

An AirBnb was booked for six of us for the event. We had a four-bedroom house, with a kitchen, living room and a couple of bathrooms. It was perfect for us in terms of space, and the wedding locations were not far from us by car. We met up first and had a meal at Davitt's in the center of Kenmare. Then, we went to our house to unpack and rest. After a while, we got an invitation to dinner from the engaged couple because some people couldn't come due to an emergency. Usually, a small group - including the couple and their parents - have a meal the night before the wedding, and we did not expect that invitation at all. Two attended the meal, but the rest of us were full to the gills and tired, and we stayed at home.

Wedding Day

After a morning of delicious rest and a nice lunch, we had a beautiful journey in the car from Kenmare to St. Patrick's Church in Tathuile, near Sneem on the Iveragh peninsula, the largest peninsula in the south-west of Ireland. We were on the Wild Atlantic Way near the sea and had a great view of the sea and the mountains. The family of the woman to be married had ties to the area and to the church itself (her mother and sister's wedding were celebrated there), and the couple were happy to adhere to that family custom. It was a beautiful rural location, and the church was full to capacity during the wedding ceremony. We had a wonderful priest with a great sense of humour, who fostered a relaxed atmosphere in all of us. The newlyweds and their families looked great as they were all beautifully dressed for the occasion, and lots of photos were taken during and after the ceremony.

We had a short break before the wedding reception, which started at four o'clock at Dromquinna Manor in Kenmare. The sun was shining on the reception area outside and behind the manor, and drinks and nibbles were available - including caviar on crackers. There was a neat lawn that sloped from the manor down to the shore, and we had a beautiful southerly view of the Beara peninsula. We (perhaps 120 people) went into the dining room around five o'clock for dinner. Each table was served a hearty platter, with all manner of food on offer – including an amazing selection of cheeses and vegetables, prosciutto, olives and tapenade. The speeches were given at that time, before the main course, and were funny and serious at the same time. In particular, the bride and groom gave heartfelt praise to their parents and expressed their love for each other.

We had two choices for the main course: halibut or steak. I love fish, and the halibut was excellent. My wife had steak, and she gave me some. It melted in my mouth and was as delicious as any steak I've ever had! Red and white wine was also available during the meal.

Then we had sumptuous desserts – a big bowl on each table of all different desserts. We were going from table to table to get a taste of them all and to have a chat with the people who were sitting at the other tables in the dining room.

The music started around nine o'clock and the band provided a musical feast. They played all genres of music and we danced without restraint until we were spent – which happened to us who were a bit older earlier. All the same, it was after two in the morning when we went to bed. As for the newly married couple and others of the same age, it was close to five o'clock in the morning when they called it quits!

The Third Day

We had a beer garden reserved for us on the third day, starting at four o'clock and ending at nine. A great barbecue was organized for us with snacks, burgers, chicken and chips available.

A first class singer performed after we saw the Munster hurling final between Limerick and Clare on TV. It was a great game - in the first half anyway, and the teams were level at the start of the second half. But as usual for Limerick, they went ahead in the second half and Clare had little chance to catch up with them again.

We were all tired and exhausted by 9 pm. It was a wonderful experience for us to be guests attending this important event with the important people in our lives.

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Dírbheathaisnéis 8: Filleann an Feall!

Autobiography 8: What goes around comes around!

 

It took me quite some time to settle down as a boarding student at Coláiste Chiaráin, and it wasn't easy in a few ways. Without a doubt, it was cold in the winter, especially in our large dorms, because although there were radiators on the walls, there was no heat in the middle of those rooms. We only had light blankets on our beds, and cold water in our wash basins. The food we got in the refectory was not tasty, except for the desserts! But after a while I got used to those difficulties and after a while they didn't bother me. Unfortunately, I was a small, fragile boy. Therefore, I could not play hurling well as a team member, and whenever I tried, I got injured. But I loved to play handball, because it's not a contact sport. I was a pretty good player, and I really enjoyed that sport during my time in secondary school. The bullies at home were not able to enter the school grounds, and that was a big advantage. I was never bullied at Coláiste Chiaráin, and I think it didn't hurt that my father taught at the same school.

Teachers and Subjects

In primary school,we had only one teacher and we studied a few subjects in primary school - Irish, English, Interests and Religion. To tell the truth, it was too easy for me, and I was fed up with it. It was not like that at Coláiste Chiaráin at all. We had many subjects: Irish, English, Latin, Greek, French, Science, History, Geography, Art and Civics. I really liked all the subjects, and I loved learning all kinds of things. Between one class and the next, we used to have a little break, and when we returned to our classroom, another teacher would be waiting for us to teach us his subject. Each subject presented different challenges, and I could not contain my natural curiosity. I loved using my imagination and seeing pictures with my mind. We had a lot to learn by heart as part of our education, but I wasn't overly impressed with that aspect of it. I would rather understand the reasons and logic behind the information.

The enthusiasm of most of the teachers really inspired me, because they put their hearts and souls into teaching, and that was contagious. Those teachers did not use any corporal punishment because they had the skills to do a great job. That was a source of joy for us, and we were really looking forward to the classes with those teachers. Unfortunately, corporal punishment was common in Ireland at the time, even though it broke the rules of the education department. From my own experience, a few teachers felt that what they were teaching was not for the benefit of the students and often they had no interest in the subject they were teaching either. They would use the rod to force us to pay attention to them because they were rotten as teachers.

Noel's Story

I had one friend at the start at school – his name was Noel. He was a very smart boy, very strong, headstrong even. Well, we had a Latin teacher who liked to use corporal punishment a lot. At the end of each class, he would write vocabulary on the blackboard, followed by a number - 1, 2 or 4. That's how many strokes you would get for each word you got wrong in the exam that would take place in the next class. I well remember the slaughter that used to happen every class. The teacher was soon sweating from the work of administering the cane to the students, and a line of them waiting their turn. Looking back now, it was a barbaric, brutal and unbelievable act. Whatever happened him, Noel got a few wrong at the start of the term, and he was beaten badly. Everything was a mess then, and Noel started a peaceful counter-campaign in protest.

I think Noel didn't study for class from then on. He was beaten badly at the beginning of every class, and I remember him getting 32 strokes, and that happened more than once. But Noel was a very determined boy, and the more he was hit, the less he studied, despite the fact that we had the same teacher for three years! The stubborn teacher didn't stop his beating, either. But the teacher failed to break Noel down, and in that way, Noel thwarted him.

After the Leaving Certificate examination, Noel attended university, graduating with a bachelor of arts degree. He became a primary teacher as his profession and after a while he was appointed as the principal of the school. There’s no need for me to say that he never laid a hand on a child! But there is another twist in the story. One day, when Noel was in his thirties, there was a knock on his door. He opened it, and who was it but his former Latin teacher! The teacher did not recognize the former student whom he physically and mentally tortured at school. But Noel recognized his tormentor instantly! His nemesis began to speak. He was standing as a candidate in a local election and trying to attract votes. "Can I count on you to cast your vote for me?" he asked Noel.

"Well," said Noel, "If you were the last person left in the universe, I wouldn't give you my vote. Go now, you loafer, and never come back here!” His teacher was left speechless, and then he finally recognized his former student. But before he had a chance to say another word, Noel closed the door in his face. As the old saying goes: what goes around comes around!

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Tuairisc ó Mheiriceá – Feileon!

Report from America - Felon!

 

On October 17, 1931, in the Federal Building in Chicago, Al Capone was convicted of income tax evasion. That wasn't among the most serious crimes against him, but it was the easiest case for the FBI to win. Capone was sentenced to eleven years in prison. After causing trouble in a prison in Atlanta, he was moved to Alcatraz, where he was cut off from the rest of the world. He was discharged after seven and a half years in 1939, but his health was deteriorating (he suffered a stroke and contracted syphilis). He was unable to do more damage and died in 1947.

As I've been reading about what's going on with Donald J. Trump lately, it seems to me that there are strong similarities between Capone and Trump. To tell the truth, those similarities are very clear to many people – including Donald J. Trump! Trump compares himself to Al Capone. "There was metal in Capone's bones," Trump said at a couple of recent town hall meetings. But “he was indicted only once; I have been indicted four times." (Capone was indicted at least six times.) "If you looked at Capone the wrong way, he'd trash you!" Trump explained. He is proud to be like a leader of a criminal gang.

Felon!

I see a pattern in Trump's case. When he doesn't get what he wants, he rejects it and blames the Democrats. That's what happened with the 2020 presidential election, and the exact same thing is happening with the court cases against him. He is saying that what is going on in the courts is a campaign of persecution, organized by President Biden and his government. He is not right about that, and it is dangerous to spread malicious lies like that.

But despite anything he claims or denies, Donald J. Trump is the first former president to be convicted of a felon. He has already lost a federal case (which is why he is now a felon) and a few civil cases as well and has yet to finish other trials. Here is an overview of all the cases and their status.

New York State: Fraud

In the fall of 2022, New York Attorney General Letitia James filed a civil suit against Trump and his former aide Allen Weisselberg, alleging a scheme in which Trump fraudulently reported the value of certain properties to lower his tax bill and improve the terms of his loans.

Judge Arthur Engoron ruled on February 16 that Trump must pay $355 million plus interest. His company is also banned from doing business in New York State for three years.

On March 25, the day he was supposed to post bail, an appeals court reduced the amount he must post to $175 million. He intends to appeal, with a deadline this summer.

Manhattan: Defamation and Sexual Assault

In May 2023, a jury concluded that Trump sexually assaulted and defamed writer E. Jean Carroll, and awarded her $5 million. When Trump then publicly denied that, Carroll brought a defamation and battery claim against him. In January, Carroll was awarded $83.3 million in that case.

Trump has appealed both cases and posted bond for the $83.3 million in March. During the second trial, he continued to insult Carroll, which could go against him on appeal.

Manhattan: Hush Money

In March 2023, Manhattan District Attorney Alvin Bragg filed felony charges against Trump, alleging that the former president falsified business records as part of a scheme to pay off women who said they had sexual relations with Trump, and to keep information from the public in case it could adversely affect him in the presidential election.

The trial began on 15 April and ended with her conviction on 30 May. Sentencing is scheduled for July 11.

The next big step is sentencing, which will come just days before the Republican National Convention. Trump then promised to appeal, but in the meantime he is a felon!

Department of Justice: Mar-a-Lago Documents

Jack Smith, a special counsel in the United States Department of Justice, has charged Trump with 37 felonies for removing classified documents from the White House when he left office. Despite request after request demanding the return of the documents, Trump ignored the government, and eventually the documents that were still missing were seized.

This case will not occur until January 20, 2025 at the earliest. This is an important caser, because Trump has put the country at risk, from a national security point of view.

Fulton County: Election Fraud

District Attorney Fani Willis brought a massive case against Trump and 18 others, alleging that they conspired to steal the 2020 election.

There is no chance of this case starting before the election, as a legal challenge against Willis has to be resolved first.

Department of Justice: Election Subversion

Special Counsel Smith also brought four cases against Trump related to his efforts to stay in power after losing the 2020 election. This case is in court in Washington, D.C.

Trump was indicted on August 1, 2023. The case is not proceeding pending the Supreme Court's decision answering the question: should the former president be immune from prosecution?

Conclusion

Trump will be busy in court for a long time if he is not elected president. If he wins the election, he will do his best to get rid of all the cases! How convenient! This is the person who is whining all the time about the criminals of all kinds who are coming in droves across the border. But has he looked at himself in the mirror lately?

Dearg le Fearg!

Red with Anger!

The lack of support from the government for our mother tongue saddens me. I have read article after article on tuairisc.ie recently, discussing the terrible stories of the decline of the Irish language. The government keeps saying one thing but doing the opposite. It is clear that the government is ignoring our language. What kind of things are involved? There is not space to mention them all here, but here are a few examples.

People are able to get jobs dealing with language matters and Gaeltacht matters, who do not (even) speak Irish! For example, in the past, a few people were appointed as Ministers of the Gaeltacht, who were not fluent in Irish - including Joe Mac Hugh and Jack Chambers. TD Catherine Connolly is worried that it is still happening - even in her home county (Galway)! Speaking before the Irish Language Committee of the Oireachtas, Minister of State for the Gaeltacht Thomas Byrne said he hoped the national recruitment plan would tackle the problem, but he also said he believed there was a "moral duty" to officials who are responsible for matters Irish to learn the language.

And what about Breandánn Ó Beaglaíoch, who was fighting with Kerry County Council for 15 years over his plans to build a small house on his family's land on the Dingle peninsula! The Kerryman warned that the Gaeltacht communities are in danger of losing their language without new laws that prioritize Gaeltacht folk (wanting) to build houses on their own land, and to avoid the depopulation of the Gaeltacht.

Or how about Cormac Chambers, Principal of Gaelscoil Lis na nÓg in Raglan. This is what he had to say. "Because there is no Irish language secondary school in the area, many children fall out of the Irish language school system. This is a scandal and shows the State’s and the Department of Education's lack of respect for the development of the Irish language and Irish education."

Dúirt an Teachta Dála Éamon Ó Cuív go bhfuil an Ghaeilge fágtha in áit na leathphingine, nuair a bhíonn buiséad na Roinne Turasóireachta, Cultúir, Ealaíon, Gaeltachta, Spóirt agus Meán á leithroinnt. “Má bhreathnaíonn muid ar bhuiséad na Roinne, tá méadú ollmhór ar an gcaiteachas atá ar an gComhairle Ealaíon, mar shampla, agus ar na healaíona ar fad,” a dúirt , “agus ag an am céanna, thóg airí sinsearacha éagsúla cinneadh sa Roinn sin go bhfáiscfí an t-anam as foilsitheoireacht na Gaeilge.”

Thomas Byrne is the first Gaeltacht minister of state to accept the irrefutable evidence that it is an emergency in terms of Irish being spoken in the Gaeltacht. "There is a crisis, there's no doubt about that."

Workable solution?

Although we have strong political advocates for language rights, they do not have the capacity to make the necessary changes, because they do not have the power directly. I am talking about language heroes like: The Language Commisioner – Mr. Séamas Ó Concheanainn; The Complaints Manager – Ms Órla de Burke; TD Catherine Connolly; TD Éamon Ó Cuív; TD Aengus Ó Snodaigh (Chairman), and Senator Lorraine Clifford-Lee. There are also great organisations fighting for the Irish language, organisations like Conradh na Gaeilge and its General Secretary Julian de Spáinn. They and their likes have been notifying the government for a long time that the language crisis is ongoing and that the government is obliged to take steps to preserve it and even expand it. You would be ashamed to see what is going on with Welsh in Wales! And what about the North - isn't it an incredible story what has been done for the Irish language in the North - where it is much more difficult to get language rights? I think the seeds of the solution can be seen in that story.

Political Activism!

Very often, politicians are able to ignore Irish language activists, and put Irish matters on the sidelines. That is exactly what happened in the North. Although official recognition of the Irish language was promised in the Good Friday Agreement of 1998, it was ignored. But the Irish language activists did not accept that and held protest rallies demanding official status for Irish. More than 50 language activists started the Red Dream (an Dream Dearg -a pressure group for language rights) in 2016, and organized a major protest in Belfast in 2017 - Lá Dearg! Around 15,000 people marched on the City Hall in Belfast, demanding the passage of the Irish Language Act, which was promised by the British and Irish governments in 2006. The British government had an easy excuse in Brexit, and Irish language matters were ignored during Brexit.

But the Red Dream did not stop trying to achieve its objective, and when the Brexit had been completed for some time, they organized a rally in 2022, in which more than 17,000 people marched for language rights. At the end of the same year, 'The Identity and Language (Northern Ireland) Act 2022' was passed in Westminster, giving official status to the Irish language in the North, with the various advantages associated with that status. As Churchill himself said – “Never surrender!”

And that is the way forward in Ireland too. We need to bring the government to account regarding its lack of support for the language, regarding the proper implementation of the Languages Act and to resolve the various problems mentioned above. Why wouldn't the Red Dream or similar organize protest rallies at Leinster House in Dublin, demanding that a specific plan be implemented soon to tackle the language crisis that has finally been admitted by the government itself ? Why wouldn't that work?

Hot off the press - green shoots!

As this article was going to press, I saw that a protest at Leinster House about the housing crisis in the Gaeltacht had just taken place. Among the protesters were the people of the Gaeltacht, the people of the community, and representatives from various organizations - Conradh na Gaeilge, the National Language Planning Committee, BÁNÚ, the Red Dream, the Students' Union in Ireland, the Post-Primary Students' Union of Ireland and CATU Ireland [Union for Communities and Tenants]. Good for you all! I hope that protests like this will take place as often as necessary, to publicly express the will of the people and the government's promises regarding language rights in a way that the government can no longer ignore them!

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